CFAB - Long Term (seasonal) River Discharge Forecasts

LONG- TERM DISCHARGE FORECASTS
Seasonal Forecast - August 2006

For the probability distribution of the discharges for these two rivers, click here or scroll down

In the upper panel, red lines shows the distribution of the ensemble members. The solid blue line is the ensemble mean. The two dashed lines are one standard deviation. The black dashed line is the observed climate mean. The lower panel shows the probability distribution of the forecast. For example, the red bar shows the number of the forecast members inside 0.25 standard deviation of the climate value.

Click here for Brahmaputra.eps Ganges.eps and Brahmaputra.pdf Ganges.pdf files

August 2006 Brahmaputra long range forecast

Probability Distributions of the Discharges

for the Monsoon Season

The probability distribution of discharge during the monsoon season for the Ganges and Brahmaputra river basins initialised from August 1st and forcasting for the average

Brahmaputra: a) September and b) October.
Ganges: a) September and b) October.