LONG- TERM DISCHARGE FORECASTS
Seasonal Forecast - June 2006

For the probability distribution of the discharges for these two rivers, click here or scroll down

In the upper panel, red lines shows the distribution of the ensemble members. The solid blue line is the ensemble mean. The two dashed lines are one standard deviation. The black dashed line is the observed climate mean. The lower panel shows the probability distribution of the forecast. For example, the red bar shows the number of the forecast members inside 0.25 standard deviation of the climate value.

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June 2006 long range forecast

Probability Distributions of the Discharges

for the Monsoon Season

The probability distribution of discharge during the monsoon season for the Ganges and Brahmaputra river basins initialised from June 1st and forcasting for the average

Brahmaputra: a)July, b) August c) September and d) October.
Ganges: a)July, b) August c) September and d) October.

The pie charts depict the amount of discharge with the water flux values ranging from <0.3 to >1.3 (*103 m3/m). For example: in the June-June plot there is a 28% chance of 0.29*103 m3/m discharge and in the June-June pie chart there is a 83.7% chance of between 0.3-0.5 (*103 m3/m).

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Brahmaputra June - July

June-July

Brahmaputra June - August

jun-august

Brahmaputra June - September

jun-september

Brahmaputra June - October

jun-October

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