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LONG- TERM DISCHARGE FORECASTS
Seasonal Forecast - June 2006
For the probability distribution of the discharges for these two rivers,
click here or scroll down
In the upper panel, red lines shows the distribution of the ensemble
members. The solid blue line is the ensemble mean. The two dashed
lines are one standard deviation. The black dashed line is the
observed climate mean. The lower panel shows the probability
distribution of the forecast. For example, the red bar shows
the number of the forecast members inside 0.25 standard
deviation of the climate value.
Click here for
.eps
and
.pdf
files
Probability Distributions of the Discharges
for the Monsoon Season
The probability distribution of discharge during the
monsoon season for the Ganges and Brahmaputra river basins initialised
from June 1st and forcasting for the average
Brahmaputra: a)July, b) August
c) September and d)
October.
Ganges:
a)July, b) August
c) September and d)
October.
The pie charts depict the amount of discharge with the water flux values ranging from <0.3 to >1.3
(*103 m3/m).
For example: in the June-June plot there is a 28% chance of 0.29*103 m3/m
discharge and in the June-June pie chart there is a 83.7% chance of between 0.3-0.5 (*103 m3/m).
Click here for
.eps
and
.pdf
files
Brahmaputra June - July

Brahmaputra June - August

Brahmaputra June - September

Brahmaputra June - October

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